Polling of likely voters in the 2024 presidential election in Arizona.

J.L. Partners polled a representative sample of 500 likely Arizona voters.

• Fieldwork dates of 24th to 26th October 2024

• With a sample breakdown of:

  • Live landline call for 60 responses (12%)

  • Live cell call for 140 responses (28%)

  • Text-to-web for 300 responses (60%)

• Respondents contacted via landline or cell were selected from a stratified random sample of likely voters from a state voter file

• Data was quota’d and weighted to: gender, age, education, party registration, ethnicity, 2020 vote, county, and voting habits across the last four general elections

• Quota and weighting targets are derived from US Census Data and a state voter file appended with consumer data to accurately reflect the demographics of likely general election voters

• Survey length of 5 minutes

• Margin of error: 4.4%

In addition to this margin of sampling error, polls are subject to a range of non-sampling errors, such as coverage error and nonresponse error.

Tables (voting intention): Download